Villarreal vs Celta Vigo Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Villarreal vs Celta Vigo Winner?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026. This market displays severe illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero open interest and volume despite a 7-cent spread and an extraordinary 8372% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price may reflect a stale or erroneous quote rather than genuine market consensus.
Analysis
This market displays severe illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero open interest and volume despite a 7-cent spread and an extraordinary 8372% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price may reflect a stale or erroneous quote rather than genuine market consensus. The market has moved from 5¢ to 17¢ over seven days with extreme realized volatility of 2071%, indicating either data anomalies or highly unstable pricing in a venue with minimal liquidity. With 21 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 5, traders should exercise extreme caution as the combination of zero liquidity, implausible yields, and high volatility suggests this contract may not be reliably tradeable at quoted prices.
Resolution rules
If Celta Vigo wins the Villarreal vs Celta Vigo professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXLALIGAGAME-26APR26VILRCC-RCC yes 100