What is the current probability for "New York at Cincinnati: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 89¢ (89% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 9, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "New York at Cincinnati: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 460.3% and 14780.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "New York at Cincinnati: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

New York at Cincinnati: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 89% probability that New York at Cincinnati: Totals. This contract trades at 89¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026.

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89¢

Bid/Ask 85/86¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $962.03·OI $962.03·Closes May 9, 2026·14d remaining

KXMLSTOTAL-26APR25CINNYRB-1

7-day price38 snapshots · 4 regime

90¢87¢ current

Apr 211¢Apr 25

Resolution rules

If New York and Cincinnati collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the Cincinnati vs New York professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 460.3%

IY (No) 14780.1%

Adj IY 14780%

CRI 6

RV 87%

VR 0.41

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	460.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	14780.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	14780%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	6	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	87%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.41	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.2/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	1.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/25/2026, 11:52:06 PM

Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 11:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXMLSTOTAL-26APR25CINNYRB-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

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