What is the current probability for "VJ Edgecombe: 1+ threes"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 78¢ (78% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 8, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "VJ Edgecombe: 1+ threes"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 5818.4% and 1174.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "VJ Edgecombe: 1+ threes"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

VJ Edgecombe: 1+ threes

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 78% probability that VJ Edgecombe: 1+ threes. This contract trades at 78¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026.

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78¢

Bid/Ask 31/89¢·Spread 58¢·Vol $67·OI $598·Closes May 8, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBA3PT-26APR24BOSPHI-PHIVEDGECOMBE77-1

7-day price66 snapshots · 4 regime

89¢31¢ current

Apr 2231¢Apr 24

Resolution rules

If VJ Edgecombe records 1+ Three Pointers in the Celtics at 76ers professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5818.4%

IY (No) 1174.4%

Adj IY 0%

CRI 2

RV 3066%

VR 4.64

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	5818.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1174.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	0%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	3066%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	4.64	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.7/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	7.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	1.97	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

58¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 11:55:13 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 11:53:44 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBA3PT-26APR24BOSPHI-PHIVEDGECOMBE77-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →