Will Boston win 11+ games in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that Will Boston win 11+ games in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Kalshi, closing July 8, 2026. This market shows extreme dysfunction with zero liquidity and a massive 70¢ spread despite 81 days to expiration, suggesting virtually no trading interest.
Analysis
This market shows extreme dysfunction with zero liquidity and a massive 70¢ spread despite 81 days to expiration, suggesting virtually no trading interest. The 0¢ Yes price implies an implausibly low 0% probability for a team (Boston) that historically makes deep playoff runs, while the 1051% implied yield on Yes contracts indicates severe mispricing or a liquidity desert where even tiny positions would generate outsized returns. With $0 in volume and open interest, this appears to be a dead market that hasn't attracted participants, making any price discovery impossible.
Resolution rules
If Boston has at least 11 playoff wins in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBAPLAYOFFWINS-26BOS-11 yes 100