Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Tobias Harris: 10+ points"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 14 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Tobias Harris: 10+ points"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 781.4% and 8757.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Tobias Harris: 10+ points"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	781.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	8757.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4265%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	8.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.03	Liquidity Availability Score

Tobias Harris: 10+ points

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