What is the current probability for "Josh Hart: 8+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 90¢ (90% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 9, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Josh Hart: 8+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1604.6% and 4271.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Josh Hart: 8+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Josh Hart: 8+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 90% probability that Josh Hart: 8+ rebounds. This contract trades at 90¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026.

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90¢

Bid/Ask 90/94¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $1,946·OI $1,943·Closes May 9, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR25NYKATL-NYKJHART3-8

7-day price34 snapshots · 4 regime

90¢90¢ current

Apr 2460¢Apr 25

Resolution rules

If Josh Hart records 8+ Rebounds in the New York at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1604.6%

IY (No) 4271.5%

Adj IY 4203%

CRI 2

RV 785%

VR 2.36

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1604.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	4271.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4203%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	785%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	2.36	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.7/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	17.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

4¢

Computed

4/25/2026, 11:35:31 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/25/2026, 11:23:51 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR25NYKATL-NYKJHART3-8 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →