What is the current probability for "Evan Mobley: 6+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 10, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Evan Mobley: 6+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 500.6% and 10389.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Evan Mobley: 6+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Evan Mobley: 6+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Evan Mobley: 6+ rebounds. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026.

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85¢mid

Bid/Ask 82/88¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 10, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR26CLETOR-CLEEMOBLEY4-6

7-day price28 snapshots · 4 regime

84¢82¢ current

Apr 2459¢Apr 24

Resolution rules

If Evan Mobley records 6+ Rebounds in the Cleveland at Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 500.6%

IY (No) 10389.8%

Adj IY 9756%

CRI 5

RV 2779%

VR 10.27

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	500.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	10389.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	9756%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	2779%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	10.27	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.4/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	16.8%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.06	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

6¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 4:58:55 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 4:53:44 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR26CLETOR-CLEEMOBLEY4-6 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →