Will there be over 6.5 total games in the Orlando vs Detroit 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 39% probability that Will there be over 6.5 total games in the Orlando vs Detroit 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?. This contract trades at 39¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market displays extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ bid price creating a nonsensical 10,471% implied yield on the Yes side, despite a 26¢ spread indicating some ask liquidity exists.
Analysis
This market displays extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ bid price creating a nonsensical 10,471% implied yield on the Yes side, despite a 26¢ spread indicating some ask liquidity exists. With zero 24-hour volume and open interest, combined with 28 days to expiry, this appears to be a dead or mispriced contract where the No side is heavily favored (160% yield) but the market lacks sufficient trading activity to establish fair value. The high Cliff Risk Index of 8 suggests significant execution risk around resolution, making this unsuitable for serious trading until liquidity materializes or the bid-ask spread tightens substantially.
Resolution rules
If above 6.5 games are played in the Orlando vs Detroit 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBASERIESGAMES-26ORLDETR1-7 yes 100