What will be the series outcome in the Atlanta vs New York 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 24% probability that What will be the series outcome in the Atlanta vs New York 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?. This contract trades at 24¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This market shows extreme mispricing with a 9,452% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 13¢ price significantly undervalues an Atlanta 4-2 series victory outcome.
Analysis
This market shows extreme mispricing with a 9,452% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 13¢ price significantly undervalues an Atlanta 4-2 series victory outcome. The sharp 7-day decline from 5¢ to 12¢ indicates recent selling pressure, yet liquidity remains thin at $2,529 in 24-hour volume with only $6,392.50 open interest, creating potential slippage risk for larger positions. With 28 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 7, the market faces elevated binary resolution risk, though the tight 1¢ spread suggests some market maker confidence in the current price discovery.
Resolution rules
If the series score is Atlanta wins 4-2 in the Atlanta vs New York 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBASERIESSCORE-26ATLNYKR1-ATL42 yes 100