What is the current probability for "Denver wins by over 11.5 points?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 28, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Denver wins by over 11.5 points?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 972.7% and 7110.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Denver wins by over 11.5 points?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Denver wins by over 11.5 points?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Denver wins by over 11.5 points?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 28, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $3,118,229.34·OI $1,593,473.81·Closes Apr 28, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBASPREAD-26APR27MINDEN-DEN11

7-day price46 snapshots · 34 regime

99¢99¢ current

Apr 2642¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Denver wins the Minnesota at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026 by more than 11.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 972.7%

IY (No) 7110.4%

Adj IY 3312%

CRI 3

Overround 0.9%

LAS 0.07

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	972.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	7110.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3312%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.07	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 7:02:13 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 5:23:53 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBASPREAD-26APR27MINDEN-DEN11 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →