Will UCLA qualify for the College Baseball World Series?

Prediction markets currently give a 70% probability that Will UCLA qualify for the College Baseball World Series?. This contract trades at 70¢ on Kalshi, closing June 26, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 84¢ spread, suggesting no active trading and potentially stale pricing.

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70¢
Bid/Ask 53/95¢·Spread 42¢·Vol $0·OI $6·Closes Jun 26, 2026·62d remaining
KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-UCLA
7-day price19 snapshots · 6 regime
54¢53¢ current
Apr 1710¢Apr 25

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 84¢ spread, suggesting no active trading and potentially stale pricing. The 0¢ price implies UCLA has virtually no chance of qualifying, yet the implied yield on a "Yes" position reaches an extraordinary 3932.4%, indicating severe mispricing or a liquidity desert where even tiny positions could generate outsized returns. The recent price decline from 20¢ to 12¢ over seven days combined with the high Cliff Risk Index of 7 suggests this market may be experiencing technical issues or represents abandoned liquidity that shouldn't be trusted for real trading.

Resolution rules

If UCLA qualifies for the College Baseball World Series in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 518.5%
IY (No) 659.4%
Adj IY 68%
CRI 1
Overround 3.5%
LAS 0.79
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)518.5%
IY (No)659.4%
Adj IY68%
CRI1
Overround3.5%
LAS0.79

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
42¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 4:03:06 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/25/2026, 3:53:44 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-UCLA yes 100

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