What is the current probability for "Who will be the next manager of Manchester United?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 2¢ (2% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on August 8, 2026.

Where can I trade "Who will be the next manager of Manchester United?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Who will be the next manager of Manchester United?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Kalshi, closing August 8, 2026.

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2¢

Bid/Ask 2/10¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $87·OI $1,903.7·Closes Aug 8, 2026

KXNEXTMANAGERMANU-26-GSOU

7-day price29 snapshots

10¢2¢ current

Apr 91¢Apr 24

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at 5¢(Δ -3¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.94IY 2768.6%Close-time delta 3466h

Resolution rules

If Gareth Southgate becomes the next permanent manager of Manchester United before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

8¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 12:24:12 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNEXTMANAGERMANU-26-GSOU yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →