Baltimore · KXNFLAFCNORTH-27
Baltimore is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXNFLAFCNORTH-27.
Price history
45¢ current
Contract brief
If Baltimore wins the Pro Football AFC North Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Baltimore
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Baltimore 42¢
Range
5¢-42¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-BAL
Jun 8, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$54
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXNFLAFCNORTH-27
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Baltimore wins the Pro Football AFC North Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-BAL
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 42¢, +3¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXNFLAFCNORTH-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Baltimore 42¢
Current share
2%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 45% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.