SimpleFunctions

Pittsburgh · KXNFLAFCNORTH-27

Pittsburgh is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXNFLAFCNORTH-27.

Price history

16¢ current

3¢
10¢20¢
Aug 18, 2026Sep 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Pittsburgh wins the Pro Football AFC North Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Pittsburgh

Rank

#3 of 4

Leader

Baltimore 51¢

Range

1¢-51¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-PIT

Sep 17, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

16¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 17, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

16¢

Spread

24h volume

$443

Family rank

#3 of 4

4 outcomes · KXNFLAFCNORTH-27

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 16¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
14¢24
13¢146
12¢700
10¢56
9¢153
AskSize
16¢50K
17¢29K
18¢30K
20¢100
21¢5.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Pittsburgh wins the Pro Football AFC North Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-PIT

SF Signal
SF Index
860.61
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLAFCNORTH-27.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Baltimore 51¢

Current share

27%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1721.2%

IY (No)

45.6%

Adj IY

861%

CRI

6

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

1721.2%
45.6%
Adj IY
861%
6
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.