Will Pittsburgh win the Pro Football AFC North Division
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 25% across 4 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
25%
4 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$822
4 contracts
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
233 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
4 clusters across 4 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Cleveland win the Pro Football AFC North Division
Will Cleveland win the Pro Football AFC North Division?: Cleveland
KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-CLE
Cluster 2
Will Cincinnati win the Pro Football AFC North Division
Will Cincinnati win the Pro Football AFC North Division?: Cincinnati
KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-CIN
Cluster 3
Will Pittsburgh win the Pro Football AFC North Division
Will Pittsburgh win the Pro Football AFC North Division?: Pittsburgh
KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-PIT
Cluster 4
Will Baltimore win the Pro Football AFC North Division
Will Baltimore win the Pro Football AFC North Division?: Baltimore
KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-BAL
Analysis
Pittsburgh has a 25% estimated probability of winning the AFC North Division in the 2027 NFL season. This reflects their position among division rivals Baltimore, Cincinnati, and Cleveland, with all four teams competing for a single division title. The probability is influenced by roster strength, quarterback performance, and recent competitive trends within the division. The season's outcome will depend on how the team addresses offseason needs through the draft and free agency, injury management during the 2026 season, and head-to-head matchup results against division opponents. The AFC North will be decided through the 2026 regular season and playoffs, with the division winner determined by win-loss record and tiebreaker procedures in late December 2026 and early January 2027.
- ›Pittsburgh's quarterback situation and offensive line health compared to Baltimore's established roster and Cincinnati's recent competitive trajectory
- ›Draft and free agency acquisitions made by all four division teams during the 2026 offseason period
- ›Win-loss records accumulated through the 2026 regular season, particularly head-to-head divisional matchups scheduled between Pittsburgh and Baltimore, Cincinnati, and Cleveland
- ›Injury rates and roster stability maintained by Pittsburgh relative to other AFC North teams across the 2026 season
- ›Coaching and defensive performance consistency, which significantly impacts single-division competition outcomes
What moved the line
- Jun 5Pittsburgh↓6pp19→13¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 4Pittsburgh↑4pp15→19¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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