Will Keldric Faulk be the 4th Edge drafted?
Prediction markets currently give a 27% probability that Will Keldric Faulk be the 4th Edge drafted?. This contract trades at 27¢ on Kalshi, closing May 3, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,135 open interest, making the 62¢ price potentially unreliable despite the modest 28¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,135 open interest, making the 62¢ price potentially unreliable despite the modest 28¢ spread. The astronomical 5,687% implied yield on the Yes side signals either severe mispricing or that traders are pricing in very low conviction, particularly concerning given the market closes in just 17 days before the NFL Draft. The realized volatility of 389% and recent price movement from 20¢ to 28¢ suggest high uncertainty, though the neutral regime and low information arrival rate (1.3/hour) indicate this niche market isn't attracting significant analytical attention.
Resolution rules
If Keldric Faulk is the 4th Edge drafted in the 2026 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLDRAFTEDGE-26P4-KFAU yes 100