What is the current probability for "Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 65¢ (65% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 23, 2027. 275 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 92.3% and 191.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 65% probability that Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games. This contract trades at 65¢ on Kalshi, closing January 23, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a wide 14¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in whether Denver gets 5+ primetime slots in 2026-27.

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65¢mid

Bid/Ask 59/71¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jan 23, 2027·275d remaining

KXNFLPRIMETIME-27-DEN

7-day price27 snapshots · 3 regime

60¢59¢ current

Apr 955¢Apr 23

Analysis

6d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a wide 14¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in whether Denver gets 5+ primetime slots in 2026-27. The 0¢ price implies near-zero probability, yet the implied yield on the No side reaches 171.8%, indicating significant mispricing or that the market is essentially inactive and unreliable for trading. With 282 days to expiry and only modest recent price movement (55¢ to 57¢), this appears to be a dead market that lacks sufficient liquidity to execute meaningful positions.

Resolution rules

If Denver plays in at least 5 primetime games during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 92.3%

IY (No) 191.2%

Adj IY 76%

CRI 1

Overround 11.9%

LAS 0.20

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	92.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	191.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	76%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	11.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.20	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

12¢

Computed

4/23/2026, 8:48:09 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/23/2026, 8:38:12 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNFLPRIMETIME-27-DEN yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →