Utah wins by over 2.5 goals?
Prediction markets currently give a 22% probability that Utah wins by over 2.5 goals?. This contract trades at 22¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a 49-cent spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in this specific outcome.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a 49-cent spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in this specific outcome. The 0% implied probability at the 0¢ price point appears artificially depressed given the wide bid-ask spread, which typically indicates pricing uncertainty rather than genuine market consensus. With the event scheduled for April 24, 2026 but closing May 9, 2026, there's a notable discrepancy in the timeline that warrants clarification on whether the market remains active post-game or if the close date is an error.
Resolution rules
If Utah wins by over 2.5 goals in the Vegas at Utah professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR24VGKUTA-UTA2 yes 100