Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal Winner?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 in 24-hour volume and $1 open interest, making the 6097.9% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 in 24-hour volume and $1 open interest, making the 6097.9% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading. The 36¢ price has surged 550% over seven days (from 4¢ to 26¢), suggesting either new information about a potential tie outcome or minimal liquidity driving outsized price swings. With a 10¢ spread, 17 days to expiry, and a Cliff Risk Index of 3, this market is illiquid and potentially mispriced—the extremely high yields reflect the low probability and thin order book rather than genuine edge.
Resolution rules
If Tie wins the Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXPERLIGA1GAME-26APR22CAGCRI-TIE yes 100