PGA Championship: Will Cameron Young finish top 5?
Prediction markets currently give a 63% probability that PGA Championship: Will Cameron Young finish top 5?. This contract trades at 63¢ on Kalshi, closing June 14, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $8.51 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a wide 57¢ spread that likely reflects thin order books rather than genuine uncertainty.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $8.51 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a wide 57¢ spread that likely reflects thin order books rather than genuine uncertainty. The implied yields are unusually elevated—491.7% for Yes and 863.9% for No—suggesting minimal capital is deployed relative to the contract value, which inflates percentage returns. With 56 days to expiry and a neutral regime, the 57¢ price appears reasonable for a top PGA golfer's top-5 odds, but traders should be cautious about execution risk given the negligible liquidity.
Resolution rules
If Cameron Young finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXPGATOP5-PGC26-CAME yes 100