Will Anthony Richardson be starting Quarterback for Cleveland in Week 1?
Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Will Anthony Richardson be starting Quarterback for Cleveland in Week 1?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Kalshi, closing September 15, 2026. This is an extremely illiquid micro-position with zero 24-hour volume and only $825 open interest, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This is an extremely illiquid micro-position with zero 24-hour volume and only $825 open interest, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The implied yield of 7811% on the Yes side is a mathematical artifact of the low price rather than genuine opportunity, and the high Cliff Risk Index of 32 suggests significant resolution uncertainty given the 151-day timeframe. The flat 7-day price action at 3¢ indicates minimal market activity and conviction, so any position here carries substantial execution risk and wide spreads despite the nominal 1¢ bid-ask.
Resolution rules
If Anthony Richardson is officially designated as Cleveland's starting Quarterback for Week 1 of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-CLE-ARIC yes 100