Kansas · Will Donald Trump visit
Kansas is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside Will Donald Trump visit.
Price history
34¢ current
−7¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Kansas before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kansas
Rank
#6 of 9
Leader
North Carolina 68¢
Range
21¢-68¢
Family volume
$91
Identifier
KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-KS
Jun 17, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#6 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Donald Trump visit
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$91
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Kansas before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-KS
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 36¢, -2¢ versus this page.
Event family
Will Donald Trump visit.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$91
Outcomes
9
Highest price
North Carolina 68¢
Current share
0%
North Carolina
kalshi · KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-NC
California
kalshi · KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-CA
South Carolina
kalshi · KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-SC
Montana
kalshi · KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-MT
Minnesota
kalshi · KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-MN
Kansas
kalshi · KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-KS
Colorado
kalshi · KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-CO
Alaska
kalshi · KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-AK
Hawaii
kalshi · KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-HI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.