SimpleFunctions

Colorado · Will Donald Trump visit

Colorado is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 9 inside Will Donald Trump visit.

Price history

30¢ current

4¢
30¢40¢
May 24, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Colorado

Rank

#7 of 9

Leader

North Carolina 66¢

Range

21¢-66¢

Family volume

$4

Identifier

KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-CO

Jun 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

30¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

28¢

Ask

34¢

Spread

Reported volume

$3K

Family rank

#7 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Donald Trump visit

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$4

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 34¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
28¢5
27¢100
26¢200
18¢125
15¢300
AskSize
34¢100
35¢41
36¢200
40¢235
84¢1.4K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-CO

SF Signal
SF Index
245.09
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

490.2%

IY (No)

74.1%

Adj IY

245%

CRI

3

Overround

2.7%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

political

Full indicator table

490.2%
74.1%
Adj IY
245%
3
Overround
2.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.