80 or below · Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $
80 or below is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $.
Price history
11¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $80.01 between Issuance and May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
80 or below
Rank
#4 of 5
Leader
90 or below 91¢
Range
2¢-91¢
Family volume
$9K
Identifier
KXWTIMINM-26MAY29-T80.01
May 24, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#4 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $
Closes
May 30, 2026
Family volume
$9K
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $80.01 between Issuance and May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 30, 2026
Identifier
KXWTIMINM-26MAY29-T80.01
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 17¢, -6¢ versus this page.
Event family
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
90 or below 91¢
Current share
35%
90 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMINM-26MAY29-T90.01
86 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMINM-26MAY29-T86.01
70 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMINM-26MAY29-T70.01
80 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMINM-26MAY29-T80.01
75 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMINM-26MAY29-T75.01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.692
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.