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KalshiMay 30, 202618 days left

Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $75.01 by May 29, 2026?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

7¢
$1K volume
$992 liquidity
36% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

86 or below 16¢

Ticker

KXWTIMINM-26MAY29-T75.01

Market snapshot

75 or below in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $75.01 by May 29, 2026?. The displayed quote is 7¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $12. In the Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $ family, this outcome ranks #4 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

75 or below

Family rank

#4 of 5

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 30, 2026

24h volume

$12

Family context

5 outcomes · Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $

Quote range

3¢-56¢

Family leader

90 or below 56¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: KXWTIMINM-26MAY29-T75.01. Family volume: $3K.

Price history

7¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 7, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 6¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢838
5¢1.3K
2¢458
AskSize
6¢16
10¢200
54¢160
55¢237
98¢98

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $75.01 between Issuance and May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 30, 2026

Identifier

KXWTIMINM-26MAY29-T75.01

SF Signal
SF Index
37989.59
Regime
taker

Event family

Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

90 or below 56¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

37989.6%

IY (No)

105.2%

Adj IY

37990%

CRI

19

RV

1261%

VR

0.80

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

37989.6%
105.2%
Adj IY
37990%
19
RV
1261%
VR
0.80
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.