Above 125000 · ADP employment change in Jun 2026?: Above
Above 125000 is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 91¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 7 inside ADP employment change in Jun 2026?: Above.
Price history
8¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If the ADP Employment Change in Jun 2026 is above 125000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 125000
Rank
#7 of 7
Leader
Above -25000 75¢
Range
6¢-75¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXADP-26JUN-T125000
May 28, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
91¢
Reported volume
$1
Family rank
#7 of 7
7 outcomes · ADP employment change in Jun 2026?: Above
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the ADP Employment Change in Jun 2026 is above 125000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXADP-26JUN-T125000
Event family
ADP employment change in Jun 2026?: Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above -25000 75¢
Current share
—
Above -25000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T-25000
Above 0
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T0
Above 25000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T25000
Above 50000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T50000
Above 75000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T75000
Above 100000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T100000
Above 125000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T125000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.