Above -25000 · ADP employment change in Jun 2026?: Above
Above -25000 is priced at 87¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 24¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside ADP employment change in Jun 2026?: Above.
Price history
87¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If the ADP Employment Change in Jun 2026 is above -25000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above -25000
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Above -25000 75¢
Range
6¢-75¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXADP-26JUN-T-25000
May 28, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
75¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
24¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · ADP employment change in Jun 2026?: Above
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
75 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the ADP Employment Change in Jun 2026 is above -25000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXADP-26JUN-T-25000
Event family
ADP employment change in Jun 2026?: Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above -25000 75¢
Current share
—
Above -25000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T-25000
Above 0
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T0
Above 25000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T25000
Above 50000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T50000
Above 75000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T75000
Above 100000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T100000
Above 125000
kalshi · KXADP-26JUN-T125000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.