SimpleFunctions

San Diego wins first 5 innings to win A's vs San Diego first 5 innings

San Diego wins first 5 innings is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 52¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside A's vs San Diego first 5 innings winner.

Price history

52¢ current

+50¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 23, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If San Diego wins the first 5 innings of the A's vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

San Diego wins first 5 innings

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

San Diego wins first 5 innings 49¢

Range

14¢-49¢

Family volume

$92

Identifier

KXMLBF5-26MAY241610ATHSD-SD

May 24, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

52¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

49¢

Ask

52¢

Spread

24h volume

$76

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · A's vs San Diego first 5 innings winner

Closes

May 27, 2026

Family volume

$92

Orderbook snapshot

49 / 52¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
49¢2
48¢1.6K
47¢1.9K
46¢92
44¢300
AskSize
52¢1.5K
53¢1.7K
54¢132
55¢1.0K
56¢106

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If San Diego wins the first 5 innings of the A's vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 27, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBF5-26MAY241610ATHSD-SD

SF Signal
SF Index
5458.30
Regime
neutral

Event family

A's vs San Diego first 5 innings winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$92

Outcomes

3

Highest price

San Diego wins first 5 innings 49¢

Current share

83%

Browse this series

MLB Game First-5-Innings Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBF series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.