Bangladesh vs New Zealand Winner?

This market shows extreme distress signals with Bangladesh priced at 46¢ despite the match being scheduled for April 20, 2026—already 3 days past the original date with only 4 days until market close on 4/23. The astronomical implied yields (16,695% for Yes, 6,272% for No) and realized volatility of 11,371% suggest either a match postponement/cancellation scenario or severe liquidity constraints, with just $7,740 open interest and $5,882 daily volume indicating thin trading. The 7-day price collapse from 39¢ to 46¢ combined with a Cliff Risk Index of 2 points to imminent resolution uncertainty, likely driven by the match's apparent non-occurrence or ambiguous status rather than genuine competitive uncertainty.

Resolution rules

If New Zealand wins the Bangladesh vs New Zealand professional men's ODI Cricket match originally scheduled for Apr 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade