Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?
This contract is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$16K
Best sibling
No change 94¢
Ticker
0x8c2beab0…2e15
Price history
0¢ current
−4¢Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 10, 2026
Identifier
0x8c2beab0…2e15
Event family
Bank of Canada decision in June.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$16K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
No change 94¢
Current share
13%
50+ bps decrease
polymarket · 0x8c2beab0e154c578ef23dfba88d8648dba30d292cb96988ad4e33bacad4b2e15
No change
polymarket · 0xaa5aa8844cdcb27f9224d55472a4017788d54e36080250c7b6c63d537fb3d6de
Increase
polymarket · 0x146cdf818590e91110ab0ec950b367020625c792ce1953f12bb5e7c439643797
25 bps decrease
polymarket · 0xfb58cedd4b17f09429e0ad84f4824244ff9e6678481d02d740a2fd77c3b1db16
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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