Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
This contract is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$77K
Best sibling
No change 47¢
Ticker
0xba7ce27f…7a4f
Price history
0¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Identifier
0xba7ce27f…7a4f
Event family
Bank of Japan Decision in June.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$77K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
25 bps increase 51¢
Current share
34%
Decrease rates
polymarket · 0xba7ce27f7204f5813d992cd3d71c72cc8138268041b2a80d52109f0a13b77a4f
No change
polymarket · 0xe2fc1b6f5e644f939e090c42c309a498db86fb3bc20c02f05021ab42f1567de7
25 bps increase
polymarket · 0xb3237c597bd198f2e5af2d9c2597c71cdda3ab88649a410a917798b3eec8cff4
50+ bps increase
polymarket · 0xd175952df3f4312096d408a699c922af54d31b17b8d22afb35e8f09016053de9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
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