Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)
This contract is priced at 25¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 15¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 19¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$139
Best sibling
Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5) 46¢
Ticker
0xf7a73069…df37
Market snapshot
Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5). The displayed quote is 25¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $139. In the Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets family, this outcome ranks #6 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)
Family rank
#6 of 9
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
25¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 15, 2026
Reported volume
$139
Family context
9 outcomes · Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets
Quote range
9¢-84¢
Family leader
O/U 1.5 84¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: 0xf7a73069709239b5a567e5d770bf187940d09a2681ba8a9de44223830672df37. Family volume: $139.
Price history
25¢ current
+10¢Orderbook snapshot
15 / 34¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for May 15 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Qingdao Hainiu FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on csl-china.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 15, 2026
Identifier
0xf7a73069…df37
Event family
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$139
Outcomes
9
Highest price
O/U 1.5 84¢
Current share
100%
Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xf7a73069709239b5a567e5d770bf187940d09a2681ba8a9de44223830672df37
Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)
polymarket · 0xf79bdb1c993ea7f11aa0fe04ab13572feea6022108a29701048834a7d3e3d6df
Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)
polymarket · 0x06b3444016713dbacb52269b22d7a88d110a57b55daef37448a14d60a467b489
Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)
polymarket · 0x21fa913a1bed030cd97cb236bd7123c6c67e7aea02bda039b77032ba74722790
O/U 1.5
polymarket · 0x482a0deb07235e23f2c92a295800ed509d2968bb40d9a827e428c9826c0e4853
O/U 2.5
polymarket · 0x6a2f654ef27b918ebb6b7d5553025546c7211c7486641cc33aa9ef85326ee251
O/U 3.5
polymarket · 0xbced65ea8e937b13153d9fd3fc5454a395df1bfe639564e407fb084949448c37
O/U 4.5
polymarket · 0xb9fb890b38dd4a14548cc9b83805cbcc7d6d05701992eda511b00e88f37ac330
Both Teams to Score
polymarket · 0x8a2dccd861283fa221c133939f3489c92f300cc7067e963d2cd828c10cbc8f6c
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.