SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Ed Sheeran be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

This contract is priced at 40¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 77¢ spread.

Implied probability

40¢
$7K volume
$93 liquidity
5% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$127K

Best sibling

Sabrina Carpenter 14¢

Ticker

0xbf971358…d85b

Market snapshot

Ed Sheeran in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Ed Sheeran be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?. The displayed quote is 40¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $7K. In the Billboard #1 Artist 2026 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Ed Sheeran

Family rank

#5 of 16

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

40¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$7K

Family context

16 outcomes · Billboard #1 Artist 2026

Quote range

4¢-43¢

Family leader

Billie Eilish 43¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0xbf971358cd32c1b5b487cc301e23120ba7820deeaac81e125b7091de877bd85b. Family volume: $127K.

Price history

40¢ current

+29¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 78¢

Polymarket
77¢ spread
BidSize
100¢300
100¢248
100¢20
100¢76
100¢28
100¢28
100¢47
0¢10.0K
AskSize
78¢20
79¢8
79¢9
79¢25
86¢66
94¢80
94¢22
95¢20

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart. If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xbf971358…d85b

Event family

Billboard #1 Artist 2026.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$127K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Billie Eilish 43¢

Current share

5%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Ed Sheeran

polymarket · 0xbf971358cd32c1b5b487cc301e23120ba7820deeaac81e125b7091de877bd85b

40¢$7K$01.9

Sabrina Carpenter

polymarket · 0xb03c796aa51f9123a654408a0af736ad53b103f7233b7c1f8b3261bb671205c4

14¢$57K$01.9

Morgan Wallen

polymarket · 0x45645b3996c6170c477de5f81a04da30d0df6ebf01acb155733aed37458497c2

18¢$39K$01.9

Kendrick Lamar

polymarket · 0x924e5c02d1d8cc3322f15745fadbf14c745f8e28138762abe758638b16cd93d2

20¢$16K$01.9

SZA

polymarket · 0x7a71a12647464db8f153c79de8a7bb392af01c1e83b20697a154c47311bebdfb

4¢$3K$01.8

Billie Eilish

polymarket · 0x1a45316dbed369343a66a803aa5b8b324a59ba190c56602346e2f33b9a467b14

43¢$1K$02.0

Taylor Swift

polymarket · 0x7e92a918da062830c6e36b3413a338ef9347c79a8609cf397dad14699819d40f

40¢$492$02.0

Drake

polymarket · 0xbc27f4df47babdd7d6a51b696d14564aaa5870b6a49607976da21f36d36c7470

16¢$485$01.8

Zach Bryan

polymarket · 0x550ab3b4b686259c5d36304a4a3f98995998ade2d699a3cb1de0ef2f261e34f7

4¢$349$0

Luke Combs

polymarket · 0xc2c2e59a10f3a5c437c27a4aefd938cc474b24336539fbb16c925b52e9f315fd

41¢$311$02.0

Olivia Rodrigo

polymarket · 0xd9d8a2cb1ce46bfabf87a87e79adca354b1fbe643d6f77e6869cb2203a32c7de

42¢$307$02.0

Tyler, The Creator

polymarket · 0x3f043edeb702bbabdd11a3e72d85d5845251996cfb4d02fed702a9608ecb305a

25¢$306$02.0

Bad Bunny

polymarket · 0xd43c17fd270d5ee49c4cb7a1e970b6cbb0034fd9f011498f82e54c23d9081971

40¢$302$01.9

Post Malone

polymarket · 0x830653b1f6f992126fa957ed09200605e11969ca4988a47b9389317a7cec4ecd

40¢$300$02.0

The Weeknd

polymarket · 0xbfe96d50581032d229cd39c8d61317fc05cb3314bbdd568e856a89d79ee03a9b

40¢$291$02.0

Doja Cat

polymarket · 0x306ace7b3332c32f3accfa72932e10f1b3b4bfc05cbd269910bc7a8f9ff1b699

43¢$274$01.9

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

232.3%
103.2%
Adj IY
0%
2
RV
552%
VR
3.90
IAR
1.6/h
Overround
3.5%
LAS
1.93

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