Will The Weeknd be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
This contract is priced at 42¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 82¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$127K
Best sibling
Sabrina Carpenter 13¢
Ticker
0xbfe96d50…3a9b
Market snapshot
The Weeknd in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will The Weeknd be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?. The displayed quote is 42¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $291. In the Billboard #1 Artist 2026 family, this outcome ranks #3 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
The Weeknd
Family rank
#3 of 16
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
42¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$291
Family context
16 outcomes · Billboard #1 Artist 2026
Quote range
4¢-45¢
Family leader
Luke Combs 45¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: 0xbfe96d50581032d229cd39c8d61317fc05cb3314bbdd568e856a89d79ee03a9b. Family volume: $127K.
Price history
42¢ current
+32¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 83¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart. If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xbfe96d50…3a9b
Event family
Billboard #1 Artist 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$127K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Luke Combs 45¢
Current share
0%
The Weeknd
polymarket · 0xbfe96d50581032d229cd39c8d61317fc05cb3314bbdd568e856a89d79ee03a9b
Sabrina Carpenter
polymarket · 0xb03c796aa51f9123a654408a0af736ad53b103f7233b7c1f8b3261bb671205c4
Morgan Wallen
polymarket · 0x45645b3996c6170c477de5f81a04da30d0df6ebf01acb155733aed37458497c2
Kendrick Lamar
polymarket · 0x924e5c02d1d8cc3322f15745fadbf14c745f8e28138762abe758638b16cd93d2
Ed Sheeran
polymarket · 0xbf971358cd32c1b5b487cc301e23120ba7820deeaac81e125b7091de877bd85b
SZA
polymarket · 0x7a71a12647464db8f153c79de8a7bb392af01c1e83b20697a154c47311bebdfb
Billie Eilish
polymarket · 0x1a45316dbed369343a66a803aa5b8b324a59ba190c56602346e2f33b9a467b14
Taylor Swift
polymarket · 0x7e92a918da062830c6e36b3413a338ef9347c79a8609cf397dad14699819d40f
Drake
polymarket · 0xbc27f4df47babdd7d6a51b696d14564aaa5870b6a49607976da21f36d36c7470
Zach Bryan
polymarket · 0x550ab3b4b686259c5d36304a4a3f98995998ade2d699a3cb1de0ef2f261e34f7
Luke Combs
polymarket · 0xc2c2e59a10f3a5c437c27a4aefd938cc474b24336539fbb16c925b52e9f315fd
Olivia Rodrigo
polymarket · 0xd9d8a2cb1ce46bfabf87a87e79adca354b1fbe643d6f77e6869cb2203a32c7de
Tyler, The Creator
polymarket · 0x3f043edeb702bbabdd11a3e72d85d5845251996cfb4d02fed702a9608ecb305a
Bad Bunny
polymarket · 0xd43c17fd270d5ee49c4cb7a1e970b6cbb0034fd9f011498f82e54c23d9081971
Post Malone
polymarket · 0x830653b1f6f992126fa957ed09200605e11969ca4988a47b9389317a7cec4ecd
Doja Cat
polymarket · 0x306ace7b3332c32f3accfa72932e10f1b3b4bfc05cbd269910bc7a8f9ff1b699
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 42% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.