SimpleFunctions

$60,000 or above · Bitcoin price on Jun 12, 2026?: $

$60,000 or above is priced at 77¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 77¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Bitcoin price on Jun 12, 2026?: $.

Price history

77¢ current

+26¢
25¢50¢75¢
Jun 5, 2026Jun 8, 2026

Contract brief

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 59999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

$60,000 or above

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

$55,000 or above 91¢

Range

5¢-91¢

Family volume

$381K

Identifier

KXBTCD-26JUN1217-T59999.99

Jun 8, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

77¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

77¢

Ask

80¢

Spread

24h volume

$14K

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · Bitcoin price on Jun 12, 2026?: $

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$381K

Orderbook snapshot

77 / 80¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
77¢63
76¢6.0K
75¢500
64¢300
57¢38
AskSize
80¢320
81¢5.8K
82¢900
84¢95
90¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 59999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXBTCD-26JUN1217-T59999.99

SF Signal
SF Index
24529.68
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

3

VR

2.38

IAR

2.7/h

Overround

26.0%

LAS

0.05

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3
VR
2.38
IAR
2.7/h
Overround
26.0%
LAS
0.05

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.