Will Bitcoin hit $100,000?
Leader sits at 97% across 6 bound outcomes, runner-up at 97%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Outcomes
6
winner-take-all
Runner-up
97¢
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 202
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$1.6M
liquid
Closes
May 8, 2026
0 days
Venue
Kalshi
15 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T65499.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T64999.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T64499.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T65999.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T66499.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T63999.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T66999.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T63499.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T62999.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T61999.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T58999.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T60999.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T59999.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T62499.99
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
KXBTCD-26JUL2417-T61499.99
What moved the line
- Jul 21Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?↑23pp38→61¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 21Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?↑21pp46→67¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 21Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?↑20pp55→75¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 21Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?↑20pp32→52¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 21Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?↑19pp62→81¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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Bitcoin price settlement markets see heavy volume, $64k level key
Bitcoin price markets are highly active, with over 90,000 volume in the $64,000 bucket. The IBIT ETF is up 1.85%, and monthly trimmed mean contracts show bullish bias. Key levels to watch.
Bitcoin Price Markets Clustering Around $62K–$64K for July 17
Bitcoin price prediction markets for July 17 show a cluster around $62,000–$64,000. The IBIT ETF is up 3.9% today. Monthly trimmed mean above $67,500 is at 49¢.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.