Will Bitcoin hit $100,000?
Leader sits at 97% across 6 bound outcomes, runner-up at 97%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Outcomes
6
winner-take-all
Runner-up
97¢
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$635K
liquid
Closes
May 8, 2026
0 days
Venue
Kalshi
15 bound
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0703-T79799.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0703-T79699.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0703-T79599.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0703-T79899.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0717-T79249.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0703-T79499.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0717-T78999.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0717-T78749.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0717-T77999.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0703-T79999.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0717-T78249.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0717-T77749.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0703-T80099.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0717-T78499.99
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?
KXBTCD-26SEP0703-T79399.99
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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Bitcoin surges 5.25%, driving massive volume across BTC and BNB price markets
The IBIT Bitcoin ETF is up 5.25%, boosting bullish sentiment in crypto prediction markets. This is reflected in the enormous volume on multi-million-dollar BNB and BTC trimmed mean markets, which indicate strong trader interest in crypto price trajectories.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction Markets Active, Top Contracts Focus on $100k-$250k Range by Jan 2027
Bitcoin price prediction markets are highly active, with over 76,000 contracts on whether BTC will be above $200k by January 2027, signaling intense speculation on year-end price levels.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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