$78,500 or above · Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?: $
$78,500 or above is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?: $.
Price history
26¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78499.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
$78,500 or above
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
$71,500 or above 92¢
Range
1¢-92¢
Family volume
$233K
Identifier
KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T78499.99
May 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
27¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$17K
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?: $
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$233K
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78499.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T78499.99
Event family
Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?: $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$233K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
$71,500 or above 92¢
Current share
7%
$71,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T71499.99
$74,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T74499.99
$75,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T74999.99
$75,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T75499.99
$76,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T75999.99
$76,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T76499.99
$77,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T76999.99
$77,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T77499.99
$78,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T77999.99
$78,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T78499.99
$79,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T78999.99
$79,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T79499.99
$80,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T79999.99
$81,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T80999.99
$82,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T81999.99
$84,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T83999.99
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.