Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 24% probability that Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Winner?. This contract trades at 24¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 40¢ spread, making the 10¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 40¢ spread, making the 10¢ price potentially unreliable. The astronomical 5685.5% implied yield on the Yes side and recent 13¢ price surge (from 6¢ to 19¢ over 7 days) suggest either speculative positioning or a data anomaly, particularly given the market resolves on a tie outcome—a relatively common occurrence in soccer that shouldn't command such low pricing. With 27 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, this appears to be a thin, illiquid contract where any small trade could dramatically move prices.
Resolution rules
If Tie wins the Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEPLGAME-26MAY02BOUCRY-TIE yes 100