What is the current probability for "Brandon Ingram: 2+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 90¢ (90% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 10, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Brandon Ingram: 2+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 467.4% and 11142.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Brandon Ingram: 2+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Brandon Ingram: 2+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 90% probability that Brandon Ingram: 2+ rebounds. This contract trades at 90¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026.

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90¢

Bid/Ask 90/98¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $200·OI $200·Closes May 10, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR26CLETOR-TORBINGRAM3-2

7-day price39 snapshots · 3 regime

87¢83¢ current

Apr 243¢Apr 24

Resolution rules

If Brandon Ingram records 2+ Rebounds in the Cleveland at Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 467.4%

IY (No) 11142.0%

Adj IY 8994%

CRI 5

RV 85355%

VR 37.50

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	467.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11142.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	8994%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	85355%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	37.50	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	17.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.19	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/24/2026, 5:13:09 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 5:08:44 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR26CLETOR-TORBINGRAM3-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →