Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
This contract is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
15
Family volume
$265K
Best sibling
Ratinho Júnior 0¢
Ticker
0xe0bdf2bd…e6e5
Price history
1¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Oct 4, 2026
Identifier
0xe0bdf2bd…e6e5
Event family
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$265K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Romeu Zema 40¢
Current share
2%
Camilo Santana
polymarket · 0xe0bdf2bdc79bac3880e6dc76513f0f02df91ed5c2650954a66ea9c7f09b7e6e5
Ratinho Júnior
polymarket · 0x31f31222f37f2583de6c44c4297cafdccfd21d443e785042af0180192897f8ed
Renan Santos
polymarket · 0xcba20965509d04b5f3ae2c51a221747317aff9387c197ca6d5919e85e5a20ee9
Eduardo Bolsonaro
polymarket · 0x43984893f308ca7980b90d7634faa9b7c5e29b71733ed1eff7be3b0e8e0248fd
Ronaldo Caiado
polymarket · 0x3dbbbe0f8e69b1aee0092e1eca397b24c954c00ecc54995035a8683201ad26aa
Fernando Haddad
polymarket · 0xacc4e526a8c6f718b80ac7f559157b5197f040fb4505a7188a6315ab208f9e36
Romeu Zema
polymarket · 0x7452216a57a3bef85439820c7bb421fa38e5a5ecff8c43658de515c1df70151e
Flávio Bolsonaro
polymarket · 0x6be36f266340255dd19e09482da15b256ec51bd478309d667495645fde253a22
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
polymarket · 0xd24e8798122cba5bb43a77e9a78f2e26bd65c47f281f4b66582718fa215b9f6e
Tarcisio de Freitas
polymarket · 0xc69eb6554a719e2fbcb1718e11ae0bd0d8cdb433e8c199329c148efc710c26e5
Aldo Rebelo
polymarket · 0x6b4d9574d789228b2f14edc10b452dc8948e38be04dba6bf90d0104e3e4e1f43
Jair Bolsonaro
polymarket · 0xa3e04eadbc6afac2e94d9eebb09d1705e254d313d06a51943cb18fc0612f4835
Geraldo Alckmin
polymarket · 0x5623b547fd959cd4d4b0e1f810d225ec6f0f8215b7a7e882b89692337a8a2956
Michelle Bolsonaro
polymarket · 0x100bfbd547cdb8782f816235d4f7d4301ec473250f4df606e6809605cdb3b5e9
Eduardo Leite
polymarket · 0xf520f38b0d0ba1a1ffb9dd77af6cfb66052ebc7cf2daa4df8c6b50d593278428
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
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