2+ threes for Bridget Carleton
Bridget Carleton: 2+ threes: Bridget Carleton: 2+ is priced at 36¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 64¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 8 inside KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY.
Price history
36¢ current
+32¢Contract brief
If Bridget Carleton records 2+ three pointers in the Portland at New York women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bridget Carleton: 2+ threes: Bridget Carleton: 2+
Rank
#5 of 8
Leader
Satou Sabally: 2+ threes: Satou Sabally: 2+ 44¢
Range
1¢-44¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-PDXBCARLETON6-2
May 25, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
68¢
Spread
64¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#5 of 8
8 outcomes · KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY
Closes
Jun 9, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 68¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bridget Carleton records 2+ three pointers in the Portland at New York women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 9, 2026
Identifier
KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-PDXBCARLETON6-2
Event family
KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Satou Sabally: 2+ threes: Satou Sabally: 2+ 44¢
Current share
—
Satou Sabally: 2+ threes: Satou Sabally: 2+
kalshi · KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-NYSSABALLY0-2
Bridget Carleton: 3+ threes: Bridget Carleton: 3+
kalshi · KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-PDXBCARLETON6-3
Sabrina Ionescu: 3+ threes: Sabrina Ionescu: 3+
kalshi · KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-NYSIONESCU20-3
Jonquel Jones: 2+ threes: Jonquel Jones: 2+
kalshi · KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-NYJJONES35-2
Bridget Carleton: 2+ threes: Bridget Carleton: 2+
kalshi · KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-PDXBCARLETON6-2
Sabrina Ionescu: 2+ threes: Sabrina Ionescu: 2+
kalshi · KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-NYSIONESCU20-2
Satou Sabally: 3+ threes: Satou Sabally: 3+
kalshi · KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-NYSSABALLY0-3
Jonquel Jones: 3+ threes: Jonquel Jones: 3+
kalshi · KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-NYJJONES35-3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 36% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.