SimpleFunctions

2+ threes for Satou Sabally

Satou Sabally: 2+ threes: Satou Sabally: 2+ is priced at 48¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 52¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY.

Price history

48¢ current

+3¢
40¢50¢
May 25, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Satou Sabally records 2+ three pointers in the Portland at New York women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Satou Sabally: 2+ threes: Satou Sabally: 2+

Rank

#1 of 8

Leader

Satou Sabally: 2+ threes: Satou Sabally: 2+ 44¢

Range

1¢-44¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-NYSSABALLY0-2

May 25, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

48¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 25, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

44¢

Ask

52¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 8

8 outcomes · KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY

Closes

Jun 9, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

44 / 52¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
44¢75
24¢4
21¢1
16¢1
11¢1
AskSize
52¢399
53¢150
54¢300
55¢150
56¢150

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Satou Sabally records 2+ three pointers in the Portland at New York women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 9, 2026

Identifier

KXWNBA3PT-26MAY25PDXNY-NYSSABALLY0-2

SF Signal
SF Index
3060.17
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3060.2%

IY (No)

2048.5%

Adj IY

3060%

CRI

1

RV

3248%

VR

5.87

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3060.2%
2048.5%
Adj IY
3060%
1
RV
3248%
VR
5.87
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
0.5%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.