What is the current probability for "Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-05-02?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 26¢ (26% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on May 2, 2026. 4 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-05-02?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 27978.6% and 3453.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-05-02?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-05-02?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 26% probability that Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-05-02?. This contract trades at 26¢ on Polymarket, closing May 2, 2026.

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26¢

Bid/Ask 25/27¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $243,928.87·Closes May 2, 2026·4d remaining

0x814278ef6967097abbaf84c32d3a5628c70014d7368513f9610d2509f41998a4

7-day price15 snapshots · 2 regime

27¢26¢ current

Apr 2626¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If Stoke City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 27978.6%

IY (No) 3453.9%

Adj IY 13989%

CRI 3

Overround 0.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	27978.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	3453.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	13989%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 7:05:04 AM

Indicators computed 4/28/2026, 6:53:26 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x814278ef6967097abbaf84c32d3a5628c70014d7368513f9610d2509f41998a4 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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