Kevin Lincoln II · CA-13 Primary Winners
Kevin Lincoln II is priced at 90¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 89¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside CA-13 Primary Winners.
Price history
90¢ current
Contract brief
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 13th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Outcome
Kevin Lincoln II
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Adam Gray 95¢
Range
3¢-95¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
0x0d4d2eab...f335
May 25, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · CA-13 Primary Winners
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 13th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0x0d4d2eab…f335
Event family
CA-13 Primary Winners.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Adam Gray 95¢
Current share
42%
Adam Gray
polymarket · 0x897bd0d602de77e33368b13b63143c8de0b1d05fa344dc7ae792f62a4a744a0f
Kevin Lincoln II
polymarket · 0x0d4d2eab8ac6b7da57d89bd5b3c80d04fd7f32bf11ebd6018cfd704b9b2ef335
Vin Kruttiventi
polymarket · 0xa237152a104eca84501bd1462a4785c380480da82a14a22b024a5fab298845ff
Daniel Garibay Rodriguez
polymarket · 0x13bf01871ebf937568d1189a22f1e5f437de8a54ffe0533abe3f5c5629aa1e33
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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