CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5
This contract is priced at 27¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 25¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$41
Best sibling
Both Teams to Score 53¢
Ticker
0x6b38e568…96b1
Market snapshot
O/U 3.5 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5. The displayed quote is 27¢ from the latest venue quote. In the CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR - More Markets family, this outcome ranks #4 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
O/U 3.5
Family rank
#4 of 9
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
27¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 10, 2026
Reported volume
—
Family context
9 outcomes · CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR - More Markets
Quote range
7¢-75¢
Family leader
O/U 1.5 75¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 14m ago
Venue identifier: 0x6b38e5686ffa5b1156528ff6580fb1361f706b00ca435bd3c94be2a12a2e96b1. Family volume: $41.
Price history
27¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
25 / 28¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between CA Mineiro and Botafogo FR, scheduled for May 10 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if CA Mineiro and Botafogo FR combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 10, 2026
Identifier
0x6b38e568…96b1
Event family
CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR - More Markets.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$41
Outcomes
9
Highest price
O/U 1.5 75¢
Current share
0%
O/U 3.5
polymarket · 0x6b38e5686ffa5b1156528ff6580fb1361f706b00ca435bd3c94be2a12a2e96b1
Both Teams to Score
polymarket · 0x8a02265bcd3ab1b4a8dbc3ff2e3b90843bd1e5dc08bce6ad3c7cfb80d675bd56
O/U 1.5
polymarket · 0xa89c29caa6b95037c881d14aa207b9e1bb7bf0f7c7407efb3850a2246f62eeb5
Botafogo FR (-2.5)
polymarket · 0x2b73744925fbec331eff869352da5209e2899ded6894b84ad5c1dcd1a952049f
CA Mineiro (-1.5)
polymarket · 0xd76150f2f4763987df7872916012f2d9826d14e170915cb428e4ecc3dabaa476
O/U 2.5
polymarket · 0x3ffad9e8ea1c74723aa9bdc8250f59f394d6ec2c015add9f1e91f7a413bd7f15
O/U 4.5
polymarket · 0x03724dd876f0f6ffeb025c4a0a8a17d438927a5aa1f1e2effdfca5a91b208a66
Botafogo FR (-1.5)
polymarket · 0xa40eb9ddb1316c477e1a78e8a603af2e52dd24883fe63f14bb7cc30bc329c02e
CA Mineiro (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xee5662172ad6c8cb5b221ea0d29e22580baf59e3d53baed3ff59933e9d5ec919
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes
When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
The Overround Illusion: Why EE > 0 Isn't Free Money
Event Overround at +0.06 looks like a 6% guaranteed return. After fees and slippage, the trade is usually negative. The interesting use of EE is changes over time, not the raw level.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 27% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.