This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Donald Trump | 4.0% |
Benjamin Netanyahu | 3.5% |
Pope Leo XIV | 3.1% |
Sam Altman | 2.3% |
Elon Musk | 1.9% |
María Corina Machado | 1.2% |
Jerome Powell | 1.2% |
Shohei Ohtani | 1.1% |
AI | 0.8% |
Giorgia Meloni | 0.7% |
Dario Amodei | 0.5% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0.4% |
Bad Bunny | 0.4% |
Xi Jinping | 0.4% |
Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0.3% |
Ariana Grande | 0.3% |
Geoffrey Hinton | 0.3% |
Ursula von der Leyen | 0.3% |
Maggie Kang | 0.3% |
CurrentVladimir Putin | 0.3% |
ChatGPT | 0.3% |
Christine Lagarde | 0.3% |
Mustafa Suleyman | 0.2% |
JD Vance | 0.1% |
Found 3 similar markets on other platforms.
| 2.0% |
| $155,405 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 1.0% | $6,082 | Trade |