Canada unemployment below 6.5% before 2027
Below 6.5% is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
39¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If the Canada unemployment rate is below 6.5% in any monthly Labour Force Survey release published after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Below 6.5%
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXUE-CAN27BEL-6.5
May 28, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Canada unemployment rate is below 6.5% in any monthly Labour Force Survey release published after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXUE-CAN27BEL-6.5
Event family
KXUE-CAN27BEL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Below 6.5% 39¢
Current share
—
Below 6.5%
kalshi · KXUE-CAN27BEL-6.5
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.