SimpleFunctions

Bosnia and Herzegovina to win Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner.

Price history

22¢ current

+5¢
10¢20¢
May 22, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Bosnia and Herzegovina wins the Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Canada 52¢

Range

20¢-52¢

Family volume

$511

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN12CANBIH-BIH

May 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

22¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

22¢

Spread

24h volume

$265

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Family volume

$511

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 22¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
20¢56
19¢44
18¢908
17¢2.0K
16¢908
AskSize
22¢516
23¢1.7K
24¢1.6K
25¢2.4K
27¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bosnia and Herzegovina wins the Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN12CANBIH-BIH

SF Signal
SF Index
4575.22
Regime
neutral

Event family

Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$511

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Canada 52¢

Current share

52%

Browse this series

2026 FIFA World Cup Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWCGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4575.2%

IY (No)

286.0%

Adj IY

4575%

CRI

4

RV

1940%

VR

1.45

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4575.2%
286.0%
Adj IY
4575%
4
RV
1940%
VR
1.45
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.