SimpleFunctions

Will Danny Walker make the cut for Charles Schwab Challenge

Danny Walker is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 64¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside Charles Schwab Challenge.

Price history

39¢ current

+11¢
0¢25¢
May 25, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Danny Walker has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Danny Walker

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

Ludvig Aberg 87¢

Range

1¢-87¢

Family volume

$44K

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-DWAL

May 28, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 2h ago

Implied probability

39¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 2h ago

Bid

Ask

66¢

Spread

64¢

24h volume

$739

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · Charles Schwab Challenge

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Family volume

$44K

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 66¢

Kalshi
64¢ spread
BidSize
2¢5
AskSize
66¢1.0K
79¢5
80¢10
98¢49
99¢101

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Danny Walker has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-DWAL

SF Signal
SF Index
12168.81
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Cut Made Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGAMAKECUT series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

12168.8%

IY (No)

119.0%

Adj IY

12169%

CRI

10

RV

10623%

VR

3.31

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

12168.8%
119.0%
Adj IY
12169%
10
RV
10623%
VR
3.31
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
47.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.