SimpleFunctions

Will Emiliano Grillo make the cut for Charles Schwab Challenge

Emiliano Grillo is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Charles Schwab Challenge.

Price history

58¢ current

+10¢
50¢60¢
May 25, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Emiliano Grillo has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Emiliano Grillo

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Justin Thomas 74¢

Range

16¢-74¢

Family volume

$44K

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-EGRI

May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

58¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

57¢

Ask

58¢

Spread

24h volume

$14K

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · Charles Schwab Challenge

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Family volume

$44K

Orderbook snapshot

57 / 58¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
57¢6.1K
56¢2.0K
54¢304
48¢4.8K
46¢1.9K
AskSize
58¢1.8K
59¢1.4K
60¢1.0K
64¢52
65¢15K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Emiliano Grillo has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-EGRI

SF Signal
SF Index
769.46
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Cut Made Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGAMAKECUT series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

891.4%

IY (No)

1566.3%

Adj IY

769%

CRI

1

Overround

68.8%

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

891.4%
1566.3%
Adj IY
769%
1
Overround
68.8%
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.